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ÇöÀçÀ§Ä¡ : HOME > ¸®Æ÷Æ® > À¯/¹«¼±Åë½Å > RFID
RFID Forecasts, Players and Opportunities 2016-2026
¹ßÇà»ç IDTechEx

¹ßÇàÀÏ 2015-10-21
ºÐ·® 174 pages
¼­ºñ½ºÇüÅ Report
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Table of Contents

1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS

  • 1.1. RFID Market 2016-2026
  • 1.2. Market size by application type 2016-2026
  • 1.3. How governments have driven most of the market
  • 1.4. Non-government successes
  • 1.5. Fragmented value chain
  • 1.6. RFID Companies by gross sales
  • 1.7. Favourite RFID frequency
  • 1.8. RFID market forecasts for passive RFID tags by application and frequency
    • 1.8.1. Passive UHF RFID
    • 1.8.2. Passive HF RFID
    • 1.8.3. Passive LF RFID
  • 1.9. RFID market forecasts for battery assisted passive RFID, active RFID and Real Time Locating Systems RTLS tags by application
  • 1.10. Market by Territory
  • 1.11. Watch the BRICS
    • 1.11.1. Progress in China
  • 1.12. Analysis of RFID case studies
  • 1.13. RFID and IoT
  • 1.14. Impediments to the growth of RFID markets
  • 1.15. Outlook for RFID

2. INTRODUCTION, HISTORIC SALES AND ADDRESSABLE OPPORTUNITY

  • 2.1. Definitions
    • 2.1.1. RFID
    • 2.1.2. Chipless/printed RFID
    • 2.1.3. Passive and active RFID
  • 2.2. Tags have different shapes
  • 2.3. The RFID value chain
  • 2.4. Where tags are placed
  • 2.5. Examples of spend by application
  • 2.6. The show so far - 1945 to 2016
    • 2.6.1. Cumulative sales by applicational category
    • 2.6.2. Cumulative sales active vs passive
    • 2.6.3. Cumulative sales chip vs chipless
  • 2.7. Historic RFID tag sales 2005 to 2015
    • 2.7.1. Progress in 2005
    • 2.7.2. Progress in 2006
    • 2.7.3. Progress in 2007
    • 2.7.4. Progress in 2008
    • 2.7.5. Progress in 2009
    • 2.7.6. Progress in 2010
    • 2.7.7. Progress in 2011
    • 2.7.8. Progress in 2012
    • 2.7.9. Progress in 2013
    • 2.7.10. Progress in 2014
    • 2.7.11. Progress in 2015
  • 2.8. Ultimate potential
    • 2.8.1. Potential for different applications
  • 2.9. Demand pull
  • 2.10. Constraints on market growth
  • 2.11. RFID Standards (ISO)
  • 2.12. EPCglobal
  • 2.13. Progress with EPC adoption so far
  • 2.14. Near Field Communication (NFC)
  • 2.15. Impediments to highest volume RFID

3. MARKET BY APPLICATION AND VALUE CHAIN POSITION

  • 3.1. Market split by position
  • 3.2. Market size by application
    • 3.2.1. Market size by tag value by application
  • 3.3. Prevalence of RFID projects for each applicational sector
  • 3.4. Future trend of projects for each applicational sector
  • 3.5. Current and future forms of payback by applicational sector
  • 3.6. Healthcare and pharmaceuticals
  • 3.7. Postal and courier services
  • 3.8. Retail and Consumer Packaged Goods
    • 3.8.1. Pallet/case tagging
    • 3.8.2. Retail apparel, item level
  • 3.9. Military and federal
  • 3.10. Airlines and Airports
  • 3.11. Logistics, Asset Tracking, Manufacturing
  • 3.12. Libraries
  • 3.13. Secure access and contactless payments
  • 3.14. Smart Ticketing and e-Passports
  • 3.15. Laundry/rented textiles
  • 3.16. Animals
  • 3.17. RFID embedded in consumer electronics devices

4. MARKETS FOR PASSIVE RFID

  • 4.1. Passive vs active
  • 4.2. Sub categories of passive tag
  • 4.3. Cost Structure of RFID passive tags - labels
  • 4.4. Passive market by applicational sector
  • 4.5. The main things that are passive tagged
  • 4.6. Passive RFID market by range
  • 4.7. RFID technologies by range and cost
    • 4.7.1. Read range and tag cost
    • 4.7.2. RFID Systems/Middleware
  • 4.8. EPC Gen 2 v2
  • 4.9. Chipless passive tags
    • 4.9.1. Chipless options
    • 4.9.2. Latest progress with printed transistor RFID
    • 4.9.3. Forecast for chip vs chipless/printed tags
  • 4.10. NFC
    • 4.10.1. NFC background
    • 4.10.2. Beyond payments and transit
    • 4.10.3. Turning point
    • 4.10.4. Phone Payments: MasterCard and Apple

5. MARKETS FOR PASSIVE UHF RFID

  • 5.1. Markets for passive UHF - by number of tags
  • 5.2. Market for passive UHF RFID by average price and tag value
  • 5.3. Analysis of passive UHF RFID markets

6. MARKETS FOR PASSIVE HF AND LF RFID

  • 6.1. Passive HF RFID
  • 6.2. Passive LF RFID

7. MARKETS AND PROFITABILITY OF ACTIVE RFID

  • 7.2. Three Generations
  • 7.3. Active market by applicational sector
  • 7.4. The main things that are active tagged
  • 7.5. Active RFID market by range
  • 7.6. Active RFID market by battery type
    • 7.6.1. Energy Harvesting and RFID
  • 7.7. New active technologies create new markets
    • 7.7.1. Hand-held homing devices
    • 7.7.2. New markets - Battery Assisted Passive (BAP)
    • 7.7.3. Bluetooth Low Energy (BLE)
    • 7.7.4. The Internet of Things and Wireless Sensor Networks
  • 7.8. An example of massive 'niches'
    • 7.8.1. The prison / correctional facility and parole service opportunity
    • 7.8.2. Electronic Shelf Labels (ESLs)
  • 7.9. Technologies facilitating growth
  • 7.10. Forecasts for active RFID tags
  • 7.11. Forecasts for systems
    • 7.11.1. The spend on active RFID systems
    • 7.11.2. Active RFID players

8. MARKET FOR RFID INTERROGATORS (RFID READERS)

  • 8.1. Overview
  • 8.2. RFID Interrogator (reader) numbers
  • 8.3. RFID Interrogator (reader) price
  • 8.4. RFID Interrogator (reader) market value

9. MARKETS BY COUNTRY

  • 9.1. Leading continents
  • 9.2. Geographical trends in number of projects
  • 9.3. Central and East Asia trends in project numbers
  • 9.4. Americas trends in project numbers
  • 9.5. Europe trends in project numbers
  • 9.6. China
  • 9.7. Japan
  • 9.8. Korea
  • 9.9. USA
  • 9.10. Europe

10. SUCCESSES, FAILURES, TRENDS, OPPORTUNITIES

  • 10.1. Dynamics of the RFID value chain
  • 10.2. Successes and revenues
  • 10.3. Largest orders, best selling products, dominant suppliers in future
    • 10.3.1. Largest suppliers of chips
    • 10.3.1. UHF RFID readers
    • 10.3.2. Largest suppliers of software and services
    • 10.3.2. Largest suppliers of tags, inlets, straps and detailed value chain for high volume
    • 10.3.3. Equipment supply
  • 10.4. Summary and outlook

APPENDIX 1: RFID SOLUTION PROVIDERS

IDTECHEX RESEARCH REPORTS AND CONSULTANCY

TABLES

  • 1.1. Total RFID Market Projections in US dollar billions 2016-2026
  • 1.2. Market size by application type $ billions 2016-2026
  • 1.3. The largest RFID markets in 2016 versus 2026
  • 1.4. Number of passive UHF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 1.5. Average price of passive UHF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 1.6. Total value of passive UHF tags 2016-2026 US$ million
  • 1.7. Number of passive HF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 1.8. Average price of passive HF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 1.9. Total value of passive HF tags 2016-2026
  • 1.10. Number of passive LF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 1.11. Average price of passive LF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 1.12. Total value of passive LF tags 2016-2026
  • 1.13. Number of active tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 1.14. Average price of active tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 1.15. Total value of active tags 2016-2026
  • 2.1. Largest suppliers
  • 2.2. Where RFID tags are placed - categories used
  • 2.3. Money spent on various RFID projects by different applications
  • 2.4. Cumulative global sales of RFID tags by applicational category to start of 2016 in millions
  • 2.5. The cumulative global sales of RFID tags active vs passive in millions to the beginning of 2016 excluding NFC mobile phones emulating tags
  • 2.6. Cumulative global sales of RFID tags chip vs chipless to the beginning of 2016 in millions
  • 2.7. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2005
  • 2.8. Value of RFID active tag market in 2005
  • 2.9. Value Chain 2005
  • 2.10. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2006
  • 2.11. Value of RFID active tag market in 2006
  • 2.12. Value Chain 2006
  • 2.13. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2007
  • 2.14. Value of RFID active tag market in 2007
  • 2.15. Value Chain 2007
  • 2.16. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2008
  • 2.17. Value of RFID active tag market in 2008
  • 2.18. Value Chain 2008
  • 2.19. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2009
  • 2.20. Value of RFID active tag market in 2009
  • 2.21. Value Chain 2009
  • 2.22. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2010
  • 2.23. Value of RFID active tag market in 2010
  • 2.24. Value Chain 2010
  • 2.25. Value of RFID passive tag market in 2011
  • 2.26. Value of RFID active tag market in 2011
  • 2.27. Value Chain 2011
  • 2.28. Value of RFID passive UHF tag market in 2012
  • 2.29. Value of RFID passive HF tag market in 2012
  • 2.30. Value of RFID passive LF tag market in 2012
  • 2.31. Value of RFID active tag market in 2012
  • 2.32. Value Chain 2012
  • 2.33. Value of RFID passive UHF tag market in 2013
  • 2.34. Value of RFID passive HF tag market in 2013
  • 2.35. Value of RFID passive LF tag market in 2013
  • 2.36. Value of RFID active tag market in 2013
  • 2.37. Value Chain 2013
  • 2.38. Value of RFID passive UHF tag market in 2014
  • 2.39. Value of RFID passive HF tag market in 2014
  • 2.40. Value of RFID passive LF tag market in 2014
  • 2.41. Value of RFID active tag market in 2014
  • 2.42. Value Chain 2014
  • 2.43. Value of RFID passive UHF tag market in 2015
  • 2.44. Value of RFID passive HF tag market in 2015
  • 2.45. Value of RFID passive LF tag market in 2015
  • 2.46. Value of RFID active tag market in 2015
  • 2.47. Value Chain 2015
  • 2.48. Ultimate potential annual global sales of some of the most promising tagged things that have potential for up to one billion tags used yearly
  • 2.49. Ultimate potential annual global sales for some of the most promising tagged things with potential of over one billion tags yearly
  • 2.50. Costs per annum for barcodes
  • 2.51. Comparison of NFC enabled devices and contactless smart cards
  • 2.52. The main impediments to highest volume RFID
  • 3.1. Total RFID Market Projections in US dollar billions 2016-2026
  • 3.2. Market size by application type tags only $ millions 2016-2026
  • 3.3. IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase 2015 - number of cases by applicational sector
  • 3.4. Future trends for the applicational sectors with the most projects
  • 3.5. Benefits most commonly sought and payback most commonly claimed by sector
  • 4.1. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by number billions 2016-2026
  • 4.2. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags by average tag price in cents 2016-2026
  • 4.3. Global market for active vs passive RFID tags in billions of dollars 2016-2026
  • 4.4. Approximate cost breakdown for a passive RFID for both UHF and HF, prices are given in US Dollar cents, assuming millions of tags
  • 4.5. The top four developments of printed transistor RFID
  • 4.6. Cumulative global sales of RFID tags chip vs chipless to the beginning of 2016 in millions
  • 5.1. Number of passive UHF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 5.2. Average price of passive UHF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 5.3. Total value of passive UHF tags 2016-2026 US$ million
  • 6.1. Number of passive HF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 6.2. Average price of passive HF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 6.3. Total value of passive HF tags 2016-2026
  • 6.4. Number of passive LF tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 6.5. Average price of passive LF tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 6.6. Total value of passive LF tags 2016-2026
  • 7.2. Main things tagged with active RFID tags in terms of number of projects in the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase or numbers used
  • 7.3. Active RFID in the prison and parole service
  • 7.4. Global potential annually for active RFID systems plus tags in the prison and parole service
  • 7.5. Number of active tags (in millions) 2016-2026
  • 7.6. Average price of active tags (US$ Cents) 2016-2026
  • 7.7. Total value of active tags 2016-2026
  • 7.8. Forecast for the value of global sales of active systems excluding tags & cellphones 2016-2026 in millions of dollars
  • 7.9. Forecast for the value of global sales of RFID systems including tags, for vehicle clickers, BAP, SALs and other applications 2016-2026 in millions of dollars
  • 7.10. Sectors, locations and application examples of Active RFID players
  • 8.1. Market for RFID interrogators by application, number millions 2016-2026
  • 8.2. Market for RFID interrogators by application, reader price US dollars 2016-2026
  • 8.3. Market for RFID interrogators by application, US dollars millions 2016-2026
  • 9.1. Percentage share of total RFID market value by continent 2014, 2017, 2020
  • 9.2. Primary differences across the world in types of RFID project by number of projects, with anomalies in top preferences highlighted
  • 10.1. Examples of dominant companies in the chip to label value chain
  • 10.2. Market share for producers of passive UHF labels in 2013
  • 10.3. Examples of some dominant companies in the UHF RFID reader value chain

FIGURES

  • 1.1. IDTechEx estimates of total revenue for some of the key suppliers
  • 1.2. RFID market by territory
  • 1.3. Number of case studies by tag location - worldwide
  • 1.4. Number of case studies by project status - worldwide
  • 1.5. Number of case studies active vs passive - worldwide
  • 1.6. Number of case studies by frequency - worldwide
  • 1.7. Number of case studies by applications - worldwide
  • 1.8. Number of case studies by tag shape - worldwide
  • 1.9. RFID is part of the IoT ecosystem
  • 2.1. The RFID value chain
  • 2.2. An AstraZeneca syringe with chipless RFID tag
  • 2.3. RFID from cradle to grave
  • 2.4. Marks & Spencer reusable plastic trays for food
  • 2.5. Marks & Spencer paybacks
  • 2.6. Costs per annum for RF Tags
  • 2.7. RFID and the hype curve for pallets/cases
  • 2.8. Some in-store benefits of apparel tagging now enjoyed by about 100 retail chains
  • 3.1. Cost structure of passive and active RFID projects
  • 3.2. Principle of automatic mail registrations with RFID
  • 3.3. Mobile AMQM - equipment and practical use
  • 3.4. Mail pipeline instrumentation
  • 3.5. GMS RFID Gate
  • 3.6. Tagged mail pieces
  • 3.7. Basic supply chain overview
  • 3.8. Real time monitoring of the RFID infrastructure
  • 3.9. System architecture
  • 3.10. US Navy program for the ship of the future based on RFID and allied technologies
  • 3.11. What part of the problem are we solving?
  • 3.12. Driving adoption
  • 3.13. Examples of laundry tags
  • 3.14. Typical laundry process
  • 3.15. Woven, stitchable RFID tags, the one on the left being HF and the one on the right UHF
  • 3.16. RFID in fibre
  • 4.1. Passive RFID applications in packaging and containers by range
  • 4.2. RFID range versus cost
  • 4.3. RFID system being developed for the flower industry
  • 4.4. Standardized EPCIS architecture
  • 4.5. The best flexible printed transistor RFID so far - Thin Film Electronics 128 bit semi read write ISO 14443 compatible
  • 4.6. NFC Deployment Options
  • 7.1. V curve of sustainable profitability vs gross sales value
  • 7.2. Three generations of active RFID
  • 7.3. Read range versus frequency
  • 7.4. Interaction of RFID, sensing and the internet.
  • 7.5. Total WSN Market 2010-2014 ($ millions)
  • 7.6. Electronic Shelf Labels (ESLs)
  • 7.7. Data for SES, the current leader in this sector
  • 7.8. Systems, devices and interfaces that are now used by active RFID, or combined with it, in small portable devices
  • 9.1. Top Ten Countries by number of case studies in the IDTechEx RFID Knowledgebase
  • 9.2. RFID Value chain in China
  • 9.3. Chinese RFID card/tag application market value by frequency band in 2014
  • 9.4. Number of case studies by tag location - USA only
  • 9.5. Number of case studies by project status - USA only
  • 9.6. Number of case studies active vs passive - USA only
  • 9.7. Number of case studies by frequency - USA only
  • 9.8. Number of case studies by applications - USA only
  • 9.9. Number of case studies by tag shape - USA only
  • 10.1. RFID value chain
  • 10.2. Detailed value chain and dynamics
  • 10.3. IDTechEx estimates of total revenue for some of the key suppliers
  • 10.4. Position of RFID suppliers to certain sectors, following the methodology of Boston Consulting Group
  • 10.5. Competing value chains for tags



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