Table of Contents 1. Introduction 1.1 What is this Report About? 2. Executive Summary and Outlook 3. Market Context 3.1 A steady economy with major growth potential for retailers 3.1.1 China's economy is increasing despite a declining growth rate 3.1.2 Savings are always a top priority for Chinese 3.1.3 Employment shift from unskilled to skilled, rural to urban, manufacturing to service industries 3.1.4 Wage growth above inflation 3.1.5 Household consumption trebles driving spending power 3.2 Large population with growing prosperity makes China a big attraction for retail 4. Chinese Shoppers 4.1 From functional to emotional 4.2 More opportunity for niche brands and mass market retailers 4.3 Shopping - a leisure activity 4.4 Two major events drive retail spend in China 4.5 High adoption of smartphones and tablets for shopping 4.6 Counterfeiting forces consumers to trade up to premium for quality assurance 4.7 Tourism /travel increases awareness of international brands 4.7.1 China will be the largest Duty Free market in 2019 5. Doing business in China 5.1 Summary 5.2 Anti-corruption crackdown requires careful handling for foreign businesses 5.3 Complex licensing procedures a hindrance for foreign retailers 5.4 Favourable tax structure to encourage domestic and foreign investments 5.5 Impact of government regulations on the luxury market 6. Retail - Product Sectors 6.1 Product Sector Analysis 6.1.1 Food and Grocery 6.2 Food and Grocery Category Overview 6.2.1 Food and Grocery by Channel 6.2.2 Food and Grocery by Category 6.3 Food and Grocery Category Analysis 6.3.1 Drinks 6.3.2 Household Products 6.3.3 Packaged Food 6.3.4 Tobacco 6.3.5 Unpackaged Food 6.4 Major Retailers 6.4.1 Food and Grocery 7. Appendix 7.1 Definitions 7.1.1 This report provides 2014 actual sales; while forecasts are provided for 2014 - 2019 7.2 Summary Methodology 7.2.1 Overview 7.2.2 The triangulated market sizing method 7.2.3 Industry surveys in the creation of retail market data 7.2.4 Quality control and standardized processes 7.3 About Conlumino 7.4 Disclaimer List of Tables
Table 1: Custom Duty Rates and Consumption Tax Rates of Luxury Goods Table 2: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 3: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 4: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 5: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 6: China Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 7: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Category 2009-2014 Table 8: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Category 2014-2019 Table 9: China) Food and Grocery Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Category, 2009-2014 Table 10: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Category 2014-2019 Table 11: China Food and Grocery Retail Segmentation (% value), by Category, 2009-2019 Table 12: China Drinks Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 13: China Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 14: China Drinks Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 15: China Drinks Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 16: China Drinks Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 17: China Household Products Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 18: China Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 19: China Household Products Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 20: China Household Products Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 21: China Household Products Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 22: China Packaged Food Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 23: China Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 24: China Packaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 25: China Packaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 26: China Packaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 27: China Tobacco Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 28: China Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 29: China Tobacco Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 30: China Tobacco Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 31: China Tobacco Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 32: China Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 33: China Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2014-2019 Table 34: China Unpackaged Food Retail Sales (US$ mn), by Channel Group, 2009-2014 Table 35: China Unpackaged Food Retail Sales Forecast (US$ mn), by Channel, 2014-2019 Table 36: China Unpackaged Food Retail Segmentation, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Table 37: Key Food and Grocery Retailers in China Table 38: China Exchange Rate CNY-US$ (Annual Average), 2009-2014 Table 39: China Exchange Rate CNY -US$ (Annual Average), 2014-2019 Forecasts Table 40: Conlumino Retail Channel Definitions Table 41: Conlumino Retail Category Definitions List of Figures
Figure 1: GDP Value (US$ Billion), 2008-2014E Figure 2: Growth Rate of GDP (%), 2008-2014E Figure 3: GDP Value and Growth (CNY billion, %), 2008-2014E Figure 4: Forecasts for GDP Value and Growth (CNY Billion, %) 2014-2019 Figure 5: Gross Domestic Savings Rate as Share of GDP (%), 2004-2014 Figure 6: Share of Employment by Sector (% of Total Labor Force), 2004 and 2014E Figure 7: Unemployment Rate (% of Total Labor Force), 2005-2014 Figure 8: Wage and Inflation Growth Rates (%), 2004-2014 Figure 9: Household Consumption Expenditure of China (CNY Billion), 2004-2014E Figure 10: Household Consumption Expenditure of Major Countries (US$ Billion), 2014E Figure 11: Growth of Household Consumption Expenditure (%), 2004-2014E Figure 12: Rural and Urban Populations (millions) 2004, 2014 and 2019 Figure 13: Total Population and Growth Rate (Millions, %), 2004-2019 Figure 14: Population Split by Gender (%), 2014 and 2019 Figure 15: Population Split by Age Group (%), 2014 and 2019 Figure 16: Per Capita Spend on Retail (CNY), 2006 and 2014 Figure 17: Per Capita Spend on Retail by Age Group (%), 2006 and 2014 Figure 18: The Changing Chinese Shopper Figure 19: Chinese New Year sales 2010-2014 Figure 20: Single Day sales 2009-2014 Figure 21: M-tailing in China Figure 22: Prime Destination for Chinese Tourists, 2009 and 2014 Figure 23: Major Cities with High Spend on Retail Figure 24: Top 10 Duty Free markets by value, 2014 and 2019 (US$ billion) Figure 25: Key Components of Doing Business in China Matrix Figure 26: Individual Income Tax and Enterprise Income Tax Rates in China Figure 27: Key Market Entry Requirements for China 2014 Figure 28: Share of Food and Grocery in overall Retail 2014 and 2019 Figure 29: Retail Sales Value and Growth (CNY Billion, %) of Food and Grocery 2014-2019 Figure 30: Spend in Food and Grocery 2014-2019 Figure 31: Online Spend in Food and Grocery 2014-2019 Figure 32: Online Share of total Food and Grocery Spend 2014 and 2019 Figure 33: Spending per Channel in Food and Grocery (%) 2014 and 2019 Figure 34: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 35: China Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 36: China Food and Grocery Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Category 2009-2019 Figure 37: China Food and Grocery Retail Market Dynamics, by Category 2009-2019 Figure 38: China Drinks Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 39: China Household Products Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 40: China Packaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 41: China Tobacco Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 42: China Unpackaged Food Retail Sales and Forecast (CNY bn), by Channel Group, 2009-2019 Figure 43: The Triangulated Market Sizing Methodology
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