Table of Contents
Executive Summary
E.1 Summary of Opportunities and Challenges
E.1.1 High Volumes, Low Margins: Opportunities in PONs and Consumer Electronics
E.1.2 Modest Volumes, Better Margins: Opportunities and Innovations in Ethernet, Parallel Optics and WDM
E.2 Laser Firms to Watch
E.3 The Growing Importance of Optical Integration
E.4 Summary of Forecasts
Chapter One: Introduction
1.1 Background to this Report
1.1.1 Long-Haul and Lasers: 100 Gbps and Tunable
1.1.2 Lasers at the Low-End: PONs and Next Generation Data Networks
1.1.3 Beyond the Communications Market: Of Mice, Computer Interconnects and Consumer Electronics
1.1.2 ASPs and Innovations
1.2 Goals and Scope of this Report
1.3 Methodology of this Report
1.4 Plan of Report
Chapter Two Technological Evolution of Telecom and Datacom Lasers
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Fabry-Perot Lasers
2.2.1 Recent FP Supplier and Technology Developments
2.3 Distributed Feed-Back Lasers
2.3.1 EMLs
2.2.2 Recent DFB Supplier and Technology Developments
2.3 VCSELs
2.3.1 Technology Directions for VCSELs
2.3.2 Recent VCSEL Supplier Developments
2.4 Tunable Lasers
2.4.1 Tunable lasers: Mechanisms and Costs
2.4.2 Tunable lasers: The Changing Supply Structure
2.5 The Future of Pump Lasers
2.6 Light Sources for POF
2.7 Other Types of Communications Lasers
2.7.1 Quantum Dot Lasers
2.8 Modulation and Modulators
2.8.1 Modulation Issues At Higher Speeds
2.8.2 EMLs and External Modulation
2.8.3 Advanced Modulation Schemes
2.8.4 A Note on Silicon Photonics and Modulation
2.8.5 Long-Term Solutions
2.9 Optical Integration and the Future of Communications Lasers
2.9.1 Silicon Photonics
2.9.2 The Future of Optical Integration for Lasers
2.10 Other Developments in Laser Manufacturing Technology
Chapter Three: Demand Patterns for Telecom and Datacom Lasers
3.1 Introduction
3.2 The Future of High-End Communications Lasers in the OTN Era
3.3 Lasers, Enterprise Networks and the Mainstreaming of 10 GigE
3.4 What 40/100 GigE Will Mean for the Laser Business
3.5 Lasers for PONs
3.5.1 PON Deployment: State of the Art
3.5.2 PON Transceivers and Lasers
3.5.2 New Technologies and New Markets for PONs: The Laser Industry Perspective
3.6.1 AOCs
3.6.2 Optical USB
3.7 Applications-of-the-future: Lasers inside the Computer and Inside the Home
3.7.1 Lasers, Optical Backplanes and Optical Computing
3.7.2 Chip-to-chip Communications
3.7.2 Fiber-in-the-Home
3.6 Closely Related Non-Communications Applications
3.6.1 Laser Mice
3.6.2 Sensors
Chapter Four: Market Forecasts (Volume and $$$$)
4.1 Forecasting Methodology
4.1.1 A Note on Pricing
4.1.2 A Note on the Ratio of Lasers to Ports
4.1.3 Sources of Error and Alternative Scenarios
4.2 FP Lasers Forecasts
4.3 DFB Laser Forecasts
4.4 EML Lasers Forecasts
4.5 VCSEL Forecasts
4.6 Tunable Lasers
4.7.1 Conventional Parallel Optics Forecast
4.8 Pump Lasers
4.9 Summary of Forecasts
ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS
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